Northumberland County, PA Shrink-Swell Risk
What Northumberland County, PA's soil means for a foundation
Low
USDA's SSURGO data puts Northumberland County, PA's soil at "Low" shrink-swell potential, an area-weighted linear extensibility of 1.49% across 92% of the county's surveyed land. That's as favorable a county-level reading as this dataset produces - standard foundation practice, pending one lot's own geotechnical report.
This is a county figure, not a lot figure
USDA's survey covers the whole of Northumberland County, PA at once, not any single address. A site-specific soil report, usually $1,000-$5,000, is what an engineer would actually pull before designing a foundation on a lot in Northumberland County.
Report cost vs. repair cost
With Northumberland County, PA rating "Low", a geotechnical report is still worthwhile before a build, just less urgent than in a high-risk county. A geotechnical report runs $1,000-$5,000, typically around $2,700. Foundation repair, if a specific lot turns out to differ from the county average, runs $5,000-$15,000.
Where this sits nationally
Nationally, Northumberland County, PA is the 2,515-most-constrained of 3,085 rated counties for shrink-swell soil. Within Pennsylvania alone it ranks 36 of 67. Northumberland County, PA is 458 square miles with a population of 90,027.
Before you act on this
Orleans Parish, LA carries this site's most-constrained reading. Columbia County, PA and Lucas County, OH are worth a look for comparison.
How this reading is built, and its real limits · Moisture management: the cheap fix that works on any soil
More of Pennsylvania
Every county in Pennsylvania is on this site, including Lawrence County, PA and Warren County, PA. The full underlying dataset is downloadable directly, one row per county.